Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Early 2015, in the range of 10,500 Rupiah Per Can the U.S. Dollar

Predicted rupiah currency has appreciated against the dollar to below Rp 11,000 per U.S. dollar by the end of 2014 .

" Dollar could end the year at Rp 10,900 per U.S. dollar . But it is likely to weaken slightly in Rp 11.700 at the end of semester one . So weakened first , then be strengthened , " said Standard Chartered Bank economist Eric Sugandi in Jakarta , Wednesday ( 04/16/2014 ) .

Standard Chartered Research estimates in the second quarter of 2014 will be weaker rupiah at Rp 11,700 per U.S. dollar , and rose again on the third quarter 2014 at Rp 11,300 per U.S. dollar . In the fourth quarter of 2014 new dollars estimated at Rp 10,900 per U.S. dollar .

Entering triwilan I -2015 , predicted regained rupiah at Rp 10,500 per U.S. dollar . The pattern would be repeated weakening rupiah , since the second quarter of 2015 are expected to come under pressure on the rupiah at Rp 10,800 per U.S. dollar .

Standard Chartered Bank senior economist Fauzi Ichsan suggests , pressure dollars during the first half of this year due to domestic political risk factors , current account deficit , on the other hand influenced by the Federal Reserve's policy of tapering off .

On the other hand , he also saw , there was a deliberate Bank Indonesia " allow " the rupiah weakened while it is in line with the fundamentals of Indonesia. BI deliberately slowing import growth .

" Policy ( BI ) is indeed leads to suppress the curent account deficit ( CAD ) . Because, if it CAD swell , Rupiah so unattractive and suppress the economy , " he said .
(see also: jenis burung kenari )

In addition to the projection of dollars , Standard Chartered Research results also showed that Indonesia's GDP growth forecast of 5.8 percent this year . The returns on 10 -year government securities at the end of the year by 8 percent , the trade balance is forecast for a surplus of 10 billion dollars , and the current account balance of minus 24.9 billion U.S. dollars . Meanwhile, the estimated reserves of 110 billion U.S. dollars translucent .


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